Welcome to this week's PREDICT picks, where we break down the most exciting prediction markets available on Duelbits Predict. The Champions League semi-finals begin tonight — PSG host Bayern Munich at the Parc des Princes, followed tomorrow by Atlético Madrid vs Arsenal at the Metropolitano. In Washington, King Charles III will address a joint meeting of Congress this afternoon, the first British monarch to do so since Queen Elizabeth II in 1991, and PREDICT has a full market on what he'll say. The Iran situation has evolved: Trump extended the ceasefire indefinitely on April 21, but Iran has pitched a new proposal that puts off nuclear negotiations to a future date, while the US delegation cancelled its trip to Pakistan, raising fears a deal remains elusive.
Tonight and tomorrow deliver two of the biggest matches of the European season:
Bayern stunned Real Madrid 4-3 in a seven-goal thriller to advance 6-4 on aggregate from the quarter-finals. They face defending champions PSG, who demolished Liverpool 4-0 on aggregate. Arsenal scraped through with a 1-0 aggregate win over Sporting, and now face Simeone's Atlético, who edged Barcelona 3-2 on aggregate.
Market: UCL Semi-Finals - 1st Leg Predictions
Two matches, 5.5 goals = roughly 2.75 per game. Given Bayern just scored four in Munich and PSG scored four over two legs against Liverpool, the Over 5.5 at 1.70 looks solid.
Highest scoring team - UCL Semi-Final 1st Legs - PSG: 2.75 / Bayern: 3.00 / Arsenal: 4.50 / Atlético: 5.00
Extra Time & Penalties - 1+ tie to extra time: 2.55 / Neither: 1.55 / 1+ to penalties: 5.50
Bruno Fernandes break EPL assists record? - Yes: 1.25 / No: 3.50. Fernandes needs 21+ assists to surpass Henry and De Bruyne's record of 20.
Man City win remaining 5 EPL matches? - Yes: 5.00 / No: 1.20
For match odds and in-play betting on the semi-finals, check out Duelbits Sportsbook.
King Charles's speech is expected to last about 20 minutes and touch on NATO, the Middle East, and Ukraine. His central message will stress that the UK and US can promote international security by defending shared values, describing the partnership as "one of the greatest alliances in human history".
Market: What will King Charles say during the joint meeting of Congress?
"Special Relationship" at 1.20 is essentially a lock, palace sources have already confirmed he'll describe the partnership in exactly those terms. "NATO" at 1.70 is strong value given confirmed speech topics. "Iran / Iranian" at 4.50 is fascinating, will Charles wade into the war directly?
Market: EL & ECL - 1st Leg Totals
Highest scoring match? - Rayo Vallecano vs Strasbourg: 3.50 / Nottm Forest vs Aston Villa: 3.50 / Shakhtar vs Crystal Palace: 4.00 / Braga vs Freiburg: 4.00
Highest scoring team? - Crystal Palace: 5.00 / Rayo Vallecano: 6.00 / Nottm Forest: 6.50 / Aston Villa: 7.50
The Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa all-English Europa League semi-final is a standout.
Trump extended the ceasefire on April 21 to allow Iranian leaders to reach a "unified proposal". But since then, the US delegation cancelled its trip to Pakistan and Islamabad took down its security checkpoints, signalling no immediate hope of talks resuming.
Iran's latest proposal would put off nuclear negotiations entirely, offering only to end the Hormuz blockade in exchange for Washington lifting its naval blockade and a permanent truce. The US wants nuclear commitments upfront.
US x Iran permanent peace deal by…? - April 30: 8.00 / May 31: 2.50 / June 30: 1.80
US-Iran diplomatic meeting by…? - April 29: 9.00 / April 30: 7.00 / May 5: 3.75 / May 15: 1.80
Trump end military operations by…? - April 30: 5.00 / May 31: 1.91
US invade Iran before 2027? - Yes: 2.88 / No: 1.44
Hormuz traffic normal by…? - Before May 1: 15.00 / Before May 15: 2.80 / Before June 1: 1.95
US-Iran nuclear deal? - Before June: 3.30 / Before August: 2.20 / Before January 2027: 1.35
WTI year-end high? - $150+: 2.75 / $180+: 4.00 / $200+: 5.00
Gas prices end of April? - Above $4.25: 4.50 / Below $3.95: 1.50
PREDICT has launched a new market following Chelsea's managerial change:
Market: Next Permanent Chelsea Manager
Bitcoin is trading around $75,300, down roughly $9,850 from a year ago Fortune. The ceasefire extension has provided some stability, but the dual US-Iran blockade keeps uncertainty elevated.
Bitcoin hit $60K or $80K first? - $80K: 1.35 / $60K: 2.75. Firmly bullish - $80K increasingly favoured.
Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? - Yes: 2.20 / No: 1.66
Bitcoin fall below $60K? - Yes: 1.70 / No: 2.15
Fed rate cuts in 2026? - Exactly 0: 2.30 / Exactly 1: 3.50
US recession this year? - Yes: 3.75 / No: 1.25
Next Attorney General? - Todd Blanche: 1.91 / Lee Zeldin: 3.50
Trump declassify UFO files? - Yes: 1.08 / No: 4.50
Neymar at the World Cup? - Yes: 2.40 / No: 1.55
Arteta still Arsenal manager for 2026/27? - Yes: 1.10 / No: 7.00
Next Liverpool manager? - Xabi Alonso: 3.00 / Iraola: 5.00
Man Utd manager for 2026/27? - Carrick: 2.50 / Nagelsmann: 6.00 / Iraola: 6.00
Harvey Weinstein prison time? - 20-30 years: 2.90 / No Prison Time: 2.25
LIV Golf cease operations? - Yes: 2.25 / No: 1.62
Claude 5 released by…? - June 30: 2.90
SpaceX IPO raise? - $50-60B: 5.00 / $70-80B: 5.50
Taylor Swift & Kelce married in 2026? - Yes: 1.20 / No: 4.33
Next James Bond? - Callum Turner: 2.00 / Jacob Elordi: 3.75
Russia-Ukraine ceasefire before 2027? - Yes: 3.50 / No: 1.27
Keir Starmer out? - Before July 1: 2.30 / Before September 1: 1.80
That's your complete rundown for the week of April 28 - May 5, 2026. Tonight's PSG vs Bayern semi-final could be one for the ages, and King Charles's address to Congress is a genuinely historic moment. The Iran ceasefire holds, for now, but the gap between Washington's nuclear demands and Tehran's sovereignty red lines remains vast. From the Parc des Princes to the US Capitol, Duelbits PREDICT has a market for everything. Head over and make your picks before the action unfolds.
