Best Predict Markets This Week - May 5, 2026

Welcome to this week's PREDICT picks, where we break down the most exciting prediction markets available on Duelbits Predict. This is it, the Champions League semi-final second legs. PSG edged Bayern Munich 5-4 in the highest-scoring semi-final in Champions League history, while Arsenal drew 1-1 at Atlético Madrid after a VAR-dominated encounter where two penalties were scored and a third was overturned. Tonight, Arsenal host Atlético at the Emirates. Tomorrow, Bayern welcome PSG to the Allianz Arena needing to overturn a one-goal deficit against the defending champions.

Meanwhile, Iran's ceasefire talks have stalled, the US delegation cancelled its trip to Pakistan, Islamabad took down its security checkpoints, and Iran pitched a new proposal that defers nuclear negotiations entirely. Trump extended the ceasefire indefinitely but maintains the naval blockade. New markets have launched on the next Real Madrid manager, the Ballon d'Or, the PFA Player of the Year, and US politics.

Champions League Semi-Final Second Legs

Monday May 5: Arsenal vs Atlético Madrid (1-1 agg)

Viktor Gyökeres blasted Arsenal ahead from the penalty spot just before half-time after being brought down by David Hancko. Julián Álvarez equalised from the spot after Ben White was penalised for handball, before Arsenal had a late penalty overturned by VAR when Eberechi Eze went down.

Arsenal remain the only unbeaten team in this Champions League with ten wins and three draws in 13 matches. A packed Emirates awaits.

Will Martin Ødegaard start vs Atlético? - Yes: 1.91 / No: 1.91

Injury-time goal in Arsenal vs Atlético? - Yes: 4.33 / No: 1.22

Tuesday May 6: Bayern Munich vs PSG (4-5 agg)

Kvaratskhelia and Dembélé scored twice each as PSG raced to 5-2, only for Upamecano and Luis Díaz to pull it back to 5-4. Bayern need to win by two at the Allianz Arena — or score at least five again.

Injury-time goal in Bayern vs PSG? - Yes: 2.75 / No: 1.44

UCL Semi-Final Second Leg Specials

Market: UCL Semi-Finals - 2nd Leg Predictions

  • Over 7.5 Goals: 2.10 / Under: 1.73
  • Over 20.5 Corners: 1.91 / Under: 1.91
  • Over 9.5 Cards: 2.00 / Under: 1.80

After 11 goals across the two first legs, the Over 7.5 at 2.10 is enticing. Bayern vs PSG alone could deliver six or seven.

Highest scoring match? - Bayern vs PSG: 1.25 / Arsenal vs Atlético: 3.50

Highest scoring team? - Bayern: 1.91 / PSG: 4.00 / Arsenal: 4.00 / Atlético: 15.00

Which match has the first goal? - Bayern vs PSG: 1.62 / Arsenal vs Atlético: 2.38

Extra time & penalties - 1+ tie to extra time: 2.25 / Neither: 1.67 / 1+ to penalties: 3.75

Arteta still Arsenal manager for 2026/27? - Yes: 1.05 / No: 13.00

For match odds and in-play betting, check out Duelbits Sportsbook.

Manager Merry-Go-Round

Next Real Madrid Manager

A major new market — the Real Madrid managerial position is apparently under discussion:

Market: Real Madrid Manager 1st Game 2026/27

  • José Mourinho: 1.67
  • Jürgen Klopp: 9.00
  • Mauricio Pochettino: 12.00
  • Álvaro Arbeloa: 13.00
  • Didier Deschamps: 19.00
  • Enzo Maresca: 21.00

Mourinho as the overwhelming favourite at 1.67 is a stunning development. A third spell at the Bernabéu would be one of football's great returns.

Next Chelsea Manager

Next permanent Chelsea manager? - Iraola: 3.00 / Fàbregas: 3.50 / Filipe Luís: 7.00 / Nagelsmann: 11.00

Other Manager Markets

Next Liverpool manager? - Xabi Alonso: 3.00 / Iraola: 5.00

Man Utd manager for 2026/27? - Carrick: 1.50

Next Man City manager? - Maresca: 4.50 / Luis Enrique: 6.00 / Xabi Alonso: 6.00

Ballon d'Or & PFA Player of the Year

Two new awards markets:

Market: Ballon d'Or 2026

  • Harry Kane: 2.50
  • Michael Olise: 3.60
  • Ousmane Dembélé: 5.50
  • Kylian Mbappé: 9.00
  • Lamine Yamal: 12.00

Kane at 2.50 is remarkable, his 50-goal season with Bayern and Champions League heroics make him a legitimate favourite. Olise at 3.60 has been equally brilliant for Bayern.

Market: PFA Players' Player of the Year

  • Bruno Fernandes: 1.85
  • Declan Rice: 4.00
  • Erling Haaland: 4.50
  • Rayan Cherki: 13.00

Bruno Fernandes break EPL assists record? - Yes: 1.50 / No: 2.50

Iran: Ceasefire Holds, Talks Stalled

Trump extended the ceasefire indefinitely on April 21, giving Iran three to five days to engage in negotiations. But the US delegation cancelled its trip to Pakistan and Islamabad took down its security checkpoints, signalling no immediate hope of talks.

Iran's latest proposal puts off nuclear negotiations entirely, offering only to reopen the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for the US lifting its blockade and a permanent truce.

US x Iran peace deal by…? - May 31: 7.00 / June 30: 2.75

Trump announces Hormuz blockade lifted by…? - May 22: 6.00 / May 31: 3.75 / June 30: 1.91

Hormuz traffic normal by…? - Before June 1: 6.00 / Before July 1: 2.75 / Before August 1: 2.20

US invade Iran before 2027? - Yes: 3.00 / No: 1.40

WTI year-end high? - $150+: 2.75 / $200+: 5.00

US Politics

California & Los Angeles

California Governor? - Xavier Becerra: 2.38 / Tom Steyer: 2.75

Los Angeles Mayor? - Nithya Raman: 1.91 / Karen Bass: 3.00 / Spencer Pratt: 5.00

Spencer Pratt at 5.00 for LA Mayor is one of the most entertaining markets on the platform.

Next Israel PM

Market: Next Prime Minister of Israel after next election?

  • Benjamin Netanyahu: 2.38
  • Naftali Bennett: 2.50
  • Gadi Eizenkot: 11.00

Next Attorney General? - Todd Blanche: 1.91 / Lee Zeldin: 4.30

That's your complete rundown for the week of May 5-12, 2026. Tonight Arsenal host Atlético at the Emirates with a Champions League final spot at stake. Tomorrow Bayern need to produce another miracle in Munich after conceding five in Paris. The road to Budapest narrows. From N5 to the Allianz Arena, Duelbits PREDICT has a market for everything. Head over and make your picks before the action unfolds.

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